Thank you for visiting our project website. Having obtained a Grants in Aid for Scientific Research (A) grant for four years, our project began in April 2015. The goal of the project is to understand questions concerning the social and political dimensions of "the Science of Forecasting" based on the idea that forecasts have tremendous influence across various sectors of our society. The project currently involves 14 scholars of various disciplinary backgrounds, including a seismologist, a sociologist, an historian, an anthropologist, a social phycologist, and an engineer. Collectively we are attempting to delve into unexplored terrain. Enjoy our website!
Latest News
・2019/02/27
A book on our project findings was published.
Tomiko Yamaguchi and Masato Fukushima (ed.), 2019, Simulation, Prediction, and Society: The Politics of Forecasting. The University of Tokyo Press (In Japanese).
More details can be found here.
・2018/02/06
Michio Murakami, a member of the SoF published the following paper.
Michio Murakami, Mai Suzuki, Tomiko Yamaguchi: Presenting information on regulation values improves the public’s sense of safety: Perceived mercury risk in fish and shellfish and its effects on consumption intention. PLoS ONE 12(12): e0188758, 2017.
More details can be found here.
We organized a session at an annual meeting of Japanese Society for Science and Technology Studies. Nobuyuki Shirakawa, Kazuki Koketsu, Nobumichi Ariga, and Aiko Hibino presented their papers and had a fruitful discussion on forecasting and society.
Japanese abstract of presentation is here.
・2017/01/12
Public open lecture was held by Professor Stephen Hilgartner from Cornell University (Department of Science and Technology Studies). The title of the open lecture is "Life Science and Society: Social Studies of Credibility and Control". Further details and a photo are linked here.
・2016/07/20-21
We invite Professor H. van Lente from Maastricht University (Science and Technology Studies) to the fourth project meeting. The theme of the meeting is the dynamics of expectations in innovation; and the social dimensions of the science of forecasting.
・2016/07/20
Professor Aiko Hibino wrote a summary report of the international forum "Knowledge Infrastructure as a Cradle of Regional Revitalization," held on 10th February 2016. The report will be published in the Journal of Innovative Regional Research Center (vol.3), Hirosaki University (in Japanese). Summary of the key note presentation (by ProfessorGeoffrey C. Bowker) is here.
・2016/03/25
Nobumichi Ariga published a paper entitled "The Beginnings of the Numerical Prediction of Typhoons: A Study on a Series of Epistemic Concerns in the Earliest Phase of Computational Meteorology" in the Journal of History of Science (In Japanese). (Funded by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 26750097)
・2016/03/22
The third project meeting was held. Mai Suzuki, the member of the Science of Forecasting project (SoF), gave a presentation on Science and Models.
・2016/02/10
Aiko Hibino, a member of the SoF, organized an international forum entitled "Knowledge Infrastructure as a Cradle of Regional Revitalization" at Hirosaki University. Among several featured speakers, Professor Geoffrey C. Bowker from University of California at Irvine gave a keynote lecture on the structure of open data infrastructure and its implications for regional development. Knowledge infrastructure such as "open data" plays an important role in future decision-making. Our project will look into the knowledge infrastructure as one important research focus. A photo of the forum is here.
・2015/12/01
English website was launched.
・2015/10/24
The second meeting of the project was held. Prof. Kazuki Koketsu gave a presentation on the issues of earthquake forecasting based on a case study of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami.
・2015/09/17
Our project appeared in the Asia-Pacific STS Network Newsletter (September 2015). Newsletter is here.
・2015/07/10
The first meeting of the project was held and the conceptual framework was shared among the project investigators. We will analyze several cases related to forecasts, e.g. earthquakes, markets, and food risks. We will then conduct a comparative study among the cases in order to examine the whole picture of forecasts from multiple viewpoints.
・2019/02/27
A book on our project findings was published.
Tomiko Yamaguchi and Masato Fukushima (ed.), 2019, Simulation, Prediction, and Society: The Politics of Forecasting. The University of Tokyo Press (In Japanese).
More details can be found here.
・2018/02/06
Michio Murakami, a member of the SoF published the following paper.
Michio Murakami, Mai Suzuki, Tomiko Yamaguchi: Presenting information on regulation values improves the public’s sense of safety: Perceived mercury risk in fish and shellfish and its effects on consumption intention. PLoS ONE 12(12): e0188758, 2017.
More details can be found here.
We organized a session at an annual meeting of Japanese Society for Science and Technology Studies. Nobuyuki Shirakawa, Kazuki Koketsu, Nobumichi Ariga, and Aiko Hibino presented their papers and had a fruitful discussion on forecasting and society.
Japanese abstract of presentation is here.
・2017/01/12
Public open lecture was held by Professor Stephen Hilgartner from Cornell University (Department of Science and Technology Studies). The title of the open lecture is "Life Science and Society: Social Studies of Credibility and Control". Further details and a photo are linked here.
・2016/07/20-21
We invite Professor H. van Lente from Maastricht University (Science and Technology Studies) to the fourth project meeting. The theme of the meeting is the dynamics of expectations in innovation; and the social dimensions of the science of forecasting.
・2016/07/20
Professor Aiko Hibino wrote a summary report of the international forum "Knowledge Infrastructure as a Cradle of Regional Revitalization," held on 10th February 2016. The report will be published in the Journal of Innovative Regional Research Center (vol.3), Hirosaki University (in Japanese). Summary of the key note presentation (by ProfessorGeoffrey C. Bowker) is here.
・2016/03/25
Nobumichi Ariga published a paper entitled "The Beginnings of the Numerical Prediction of Typhoons: A Study on a Series of Epistemic Concerns in the Earliest Phase of Computational Meteorology" in the Journal of History of Science (In Japanese). (Funded by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 26750097)
・2016/03/22
The third project meeting was held. Mai Suzuki, the member of the Science of Forecasting project (SoF), gave a presentation on Science and Models.
・2016/02/10
Aiko Hibino, a member of the SoF, organized an international forum entitled "Knowledge Infrastructure as a Cradle of Regional Revitalization" at Hirosaki University. Among several featured speakers, Professor Geoffrey C. Bowker from University of California at Irvine gave a keynote lecture on the structure of open data infrastructure and its implications for regional development. Knowledge infrastructure such as "open data" plays an important role in future decision-making. Our project will look into the knowledge infrastructure as one important research focus. A photo of the forum is here.
・2015/12/01
English website was launched.
・2015/10/24
The second meeting of the project was held. Prof. Kazuki Koketsu gave a presentation on the issues of earthquake forecasting based on a case study of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake and tsunami.
・2015/09/17
Our project appeared in the Asia-Pacific STS Network Newsletter (September 2015). Newsletter is here.
・2015/07/10
The first meeting of the project was held and the conceptual framework was shared among the project investigators. We will analyze several cases related to forecasts, e.g. earthquakes, markets, and food risks. We will then conduct a comparative study among the cases in order to examine the whole picture of forecasts from multiple viewpoints.
This project is supported by the JSPS Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research(A).
Principle Investigator: Tomiko Yamaguchi, International Christian University
All Rights Reserved, Copyright © Forecasting and Society Project
Principle Investigator: Tomiko Yamaguchi, International Christian University
All Rights Reserved, Copyright © Forecasting and Society Project
